The tough decision this week was on overall seed lines 11-14. These teams are three and four seeds in the bracket. How the committee decides the difference can make a big difference in who they play and possible outcomes.
We compared Tennessee, Cincinnati, Arizona and Kentucky.
Tennessee: We really like the quality of wins. Defeating Purdue and Kentucky are the best wins of these four teams. The combined 9 wins vs top teams along with non conference SOS of 16 moves the Vols into the 3 seed line
Cincinnati- a team where the metrics love them but quality of wins are questionable. The Bearcats have 10 top wins but best win is against Buffalo. Their non conference SOS of 156 will keep them lower than maybe they should be. They are barely hanging on to the 3 seed line
Arizona- A team that we have had move between the three and four seed lines. This team has only lost once since the return of guard Rawlie Alkins. The committee will consider injuries. The reason they are behind Tennessee and Cincinnati is that they only have two tier 1 wins and a total of 7 top wins. Quality of wins include Texas A&M, Alabama and Arizona St.
Kentucky- A team on the rise. Low tier 1 wins but 8 tier 2 wins have the Wildcats on the rise. Best win came against Louisville and non conference SOS of 6 really helps. The Wildcats find themselves on the four seed line but are rising
These four team are really close. Even as writing this blog, Arizona is looking better than Cincinnati. This is what Bracketologist do daily. This is the order the teams are right now, we can easily see the two Wildcat teams moving onto the three seed line by tourney time.